Yesterday , I did a easy rough calculation about Basic Motors to try to get at how a lot manufacturing job loss one might attribute to overseas competition versus automation and productivity increases. Various commenters objected that my assumptions had been too simplistic, significantly in neglecting the home content in international autos and the importance of shifts within the supply chain over time.
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Complicating your exercise much more is the truth that folks tend to maintain their automobiles longer these days than they used to. This is in large part as a result of high quality has gone up, decreasing the frequency wanted to buy a new automobile. I believe this has far more to do with the declining share of GDP devoted to auto purchases than any of the opposite components you talked about.
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